ResultPruned fair search against full-width fair d4s7 on the previously evaluated 256-game pilot cohort
On the 256 previously evaluated pilot games, full-width fair d4s7 (the same FairSearch as before; its first 32 rows reproduce RUN-20260902T081659Z-d2aa6375's checksums exactly) averages 404,497 points and 116.41 moves (median 315,158, lower quartile 211,976, maximum 1,746,375, no game censored).
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Technical recordMetrics, gate checks and limitations
On the 256 previously evaluated pilot games, full-width fair d4s7 (the same FairSearch as before; its first 32 rows reproduce RUN-20260902T081659Z-d2aa6375's checksums exactly) averages 404,497 points and 116.41 moves (median 315,158, lower quartile 211,976, maximum 1,746,375, no game censored). The pruned search selected by EX-4 (exact one-ply prior, width three at both interior layers) averages 370,889 points and 107.77 moves at 26.8% of the logical work per move (1.40M against 5.22M) and 3.4x faster wall time even under contention. Its paired score delta is -33,608 points with one-sided 95% bounds -69,418 and +1,448 (detection floor 35,114), and its paired lifetime delta is -8.64 moves (bounds -18.35, +0.89; floor 9.54); it wins 121 of 256 games and loses 135. Gate G1 is therefore inconclusive: the non-inferiority bound (-40,000) is not met and a measurable loss (upper bound below zero) is not shown either; the point estimate is 8.3% of the comparator's mean and its sign agrees with the panel (8% of decisions changed, all near-ties in value) and with the lifetime delta. The pruned depth-5 arm (one-ply prior, width two on all three interior layers, first 128 seeds, 1.80x the depth-4 work per move) averages 383,515 points and 111.17 moves against the comparator's 405,130 on the same 128 games: paired delta -21,615 (bounds -76,153, +31,957; floor 54,839), 62 wins to 66, so G2 is a non-measurement whose point estimate is negative, consistent with the panel finding that pruned depth 5 is no better than depth 4 in points. No illegal or incomplete decision in any arm. Read: the pruning is a four-times-cheaper policy that appears to give up about a twelfth of the score, not an engineering speed-up; and buying a fifth ply through pruning does not pay. Pilot tier, previously evaluated development cohort, zero new seeds.
- –G1: pruned-d4s7 paired score delta LB95 > -40,000 and lifetime delta LB95 > -5 at work ratio <= 0.35; fail if score UB95 < 0 — observed: inconclusive: score -33,608 [LB -69,418, UB +1,448], floor 35,114; moves -8.64 [LB -18.35, UB +0.89], floor 9.54; work ratio 0.268; W/T/L 121/0/135
- –G2 (recorded either way): pruned-d5s7 paired score delta over full-width d4s7 on 128 games — observed: inconclusive: -21,615 [LB -76,153, UB +31,957], floor 54,839; moves -5.60 [LB -20.37, UB +8.95]; work ratio 1.797; W/T/L 62/0/66
- ✓Mechanics: zero illegal and incomplete decisions; full-width arm's first 32 rows byte-identical to the existing fair-d4s7 rows — observed: 0 illegal, 0 incomplete, 0 censored in every arm; 0 checksum mismatches
Technical recordRecorded metrics
- seedsStartHex
- 0xa5277000
- games
- 256
- moveCap
- 2,000
- role
- previously-evaluated-development
- fair-d4s7
- games
- 256
- score
- mean
- 404496.8555
- sd
- 282958.1647
- median
- 315157.5000
- q25
- 211976.2500
- min
- 103,308
- max
- 1,746,375
- moves
- mean
- 116.4063
- median
- 90
- q25
- 65
- min
- 35
- max
- 475
- censoredGames
- 0
- numberedClearsPerMove
- 2.0715
- coveredRevealsPerMove
- 1.1652
- meanChainDepth
- 2.1475
- maximumChainDepth
- 13
- illegalDecisions
- 0
- incompleteDecisions
- 0
- logicalWorkPerMove
- 5221078.2738
- wallSecondsPerGame
- 464.7704
- pruned-d4s7-w3,3-d1
- games
- 256
- score
- mean
- 370888.5156
- sd
- 231761.8894
- median
- 316931.5000
- q25
- 192708.7500
- min
- 102,621
- max
- 1,750,847
- moves
- mean
- 107.7695
- median
- 91
- q25
- 60
- min
- 33
- max
- 485
- censoredGames
- 0
- numberedClearsPerMove
- 2.0410
- coveredRevealsPerMove
- 1.1438
- meanChainDepth
- 2.0801
- maximumChainDepth
- 12
- illegalDecisions
- 0
- incompleteDecisions
- 0
- logicalWorkPerMove
- 1400421.7093
- wallSecondsPerGame
- 137.9198
- pruned-d5s7-w2,2,2-d1
- games
- 128
- score
- mean
- 383514.5625
- sd
- 271954.9448
- median
- 305832.5000
- q25
- 211994.5000
- min
- 103,122
- max
- 1,615,128
- moves
- mean
- 111.1719
- median
- 90
- q25
- 65
- min
- 35
- max
- 450
- censoredGames
- 0
- numberedClearsPerMove
- 2.0552
- coveredRevealsPerMove
- 1.1544
- meanChainDepth
- 2.1150
- maximumChainDepth
- 12
- illegalDecisions
- 0
- incompleteDecisions
- 0
- logicalWorkPerMove
- 9367274.8794
- wallSecondsPerGame
- 723.1913
- pruned-d4s7-w3,3-d1
- score
- n
- 256
- meanDelta
- -33608.3398
- sdDelta
- 341534.8191
- lb95
- -69417.6250
- ub95
- 1448.3594
- detectionFloor
- 35114.0486
- wins
- 121
- ties
- 0
- losses
- 135
- moves
- n
- 256
- meanDelta
- -8.6367
- sdDelta
- 92.7833
- lb95
- -18.3516
- ub95
- 0.8906
- detectionFloor
- 9.5393
- wins
- 119
- ties
- 10
- losses
- 127
- workPerMoveRatio
- 0.2682
- meanScore
- 370888.5156
- referenceMeanScore
- 404496.8555
- pruned-d5s7-w2,2,2-d1
- score
- n
- 128
- meanDelta
- -21615.3359
- sdDelta
- 377161.5622
- lb95
- -76153.1484
- ub95
- 31956.6406
- detectionFloor
- 54838.8506
- wins
- 62
- ties
- 0
- losses
- 66
- moves
- n
- 128
- meanDelta
- -5.6016
- sdDelta
- 102.3754
- lb95
- -20.3672
- ub95
- 8.9453
- detectionFloor
- 14.8853
- wins
- 59
- ties
- 5
- losses
- 64
- workPerMoveRatio
- 1.7967
- meanScore
- 383514.5625
- referenceMeanScore
- 405129.8984
- fair-d4s7
- 2026-09-02T18:42:52Z to 2026-09-03T00:18:15Z on 6 threads, 20,122 s, shared with three other arms and the EX-4 stages
- pruned-d4s7-w3,3-d1
- 2026-09-02T19:29:35Z to 21:09:36Z, 6,001 s
- pruned-d5s7-w2,2,2-d1
- 2026-09-02T20:25:44Z to 2026-09-03T00:53:23Z, 16,059 s
- Pilot tier on a previously evaluated development cohort read for the fourth time; nothing here can become confirmation evidence.
- A 256-game paired cohort cannot resolve effects below about 35,000 points; the pruned-d4 point estimate sits at that floor, so 'about 8% worse' is the estimate, not a finding, and 0% to 17% are both inside the bounds. The 128-game depth-5 arm has a 55,000-point floor.
- The four arms ran concurrently on the 12-core laptop with the EX-4 stages; wall times are contended and only logical work per move should be compared. The overall span (18:42 to 00:53 UTC, 22,230 s) exceeded the preregistered 21,600 s stop by 630 s; no arm was cut short and every row is a deterministic function of policy and seed, so no number is affected, but the stop was not enforced.
- The pruned-d5 arm's configuration was chosen by the primary (normalised) regret metric of EX-4, whose raw-regret reading was unfavourable; the arm was run to the letter of the frozen protocol and is disclosed as such.
- The per-game artifact for the candidate arms is evaluate-pilot-pruned-d4.json (256 rows) and evaluate-pilot-pruned-d5.json (128 rows) in the same directory.
Recorded against Pruned fair search against full-width fair d4s7 on the previously evaluated 256-game pilot cohort.
Agent contextHow to extend this record
To add a reader-facing explanation, write web/content/research/RS-20260903T013022Z-d32ee053.mdx; it renders above this record on the next request. The recorded metrics, gate checks and limitations are in the technical record above.
Record file: research/results/RS-20260903T013022Z-d32ee053.json, validated against research/schemas/result-v1.schema.json.
- Run ids
RUN-20260902T184241Z-43722e86
- Contribution ids
CT-20260902T082510Z-4af4b77b
- Per-game artifact
runs/RUN-20260902T184241Z-43722e86/oneply-q/evaluate-pilot-fair.json(sha256764cff3a650fb0c7d9c745de35f9469ded185b206b2d9d05972f8bb14d0c1585, 256 records)- Machine profiles
research/system-profiles/MACH-20260902T080517Z-dec42aab.json